Lucerne temperature forecast
Friday 13 November: between 3.2 and 7.5 °C, according to the corrected ECMWF forecast.
High, Friday 13 November
7.5 °C
Low, Friday 13 November
3.2 °C
Average error, last 28 days
1.11 °C
Raw ECMWF: 1.20 °C
Inside the 10–90% range
89%
Should be about 80%
Healthy: better than raw ECMWF, with a well-sized uncertainty range.
Hourly temperature
Measured at MeteoSwiss station Luzern against each day-ahead forecast. Times are local.
Measured
Corrected forecast
10–90% range
Raw ECMWF
Accuracy by day
Average error in °C, by UTC day. Lower is better. 672 of the 168 hours needed for a verdict are scored.
| Day | Corrected | Raw ECMWF | In range |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-12 | 1.46 | 1.12 | 89% |
| 2026-11-11 | 1.16 | 1.28 | 71% |
| 2026-11-10 | 0.64 | 1.44 | 96% |
| 2026-11-09 | 0.47 | 1.25 | 100% |
| 2026-11-08 | 1.28 | 0.96 | 96% |
| 2026-11-07 | 0.94 | 0.27 | 100% |
| 2026-11-06 | 0.54 | 0.87 | 100% |
| 2026-11-05 | 1.06 | 1.42 | 88% |
| 2026-11-04 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 92% |
| 2026-11-03 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 100% |
| 2026-11-02 | 0.74 | 0.86 | 100% |
| 2026-11-01 | 1.71 | 2.02 | 88% |
| 2026-10-31 | 1.90 | 1.86 | 62% |
| 2026-10-30 | 2.03 | 1.68 | 71% |